According to James Cameron, it needs 2 BILLION dollars to break even. This is a ridiculous amount of money for just "breaking even". Could James Cameron reach those numbers? Probably. We must remember that on its first release was from December 18, 2009 to August 8, 2010. 10 days shy of 8 months. Followed with a rerelease on the 27th of August, 2010 all the way to November 18. Then it had 2 international rereleases in 2020 and 2021 and a domestic rerelease in 2022.
In 13 years it has made Domestically $785,221,649 which is a big amount, but it took 3 domestic releases and 5 international releases to reach the $2,929,917,914 it made.
Avengers Endgame was released on April 26, 2019 to September 12 of the same year. Only 4½ months and it made globally $2,797,501328... and $858,373,000 of the total was Domestic.
Let's look at numbers,shall we?
Avaturd's OG release had:
$749,766,139 which is less than Avengers Endgame and Avaturd had nearly TWICE the amount of time at the cinemas.
Globally, the nearly 8 month OG Release of Avaturd, had $2,743,577,587 which is less than the nearly half as long run at the cinemas of Avengers Endgame.
Also, taking the Dosmestic numbers of the same amount of weeks as Endgame Avaturd gets
$736,878,519 which is over 100 million LESS than Endgame. The reason I'm using Donestic as an example is becaise it's easier to calculate the sum of weekly earnings for the same period of time in order to have apples to apples comparisons. Avaturd did well, but Avengers Endgame did better.
After the Pandemic, the amount of people watching movies at the theater has decreased dramatically. Movies being too expensive, or them appearing rather swiftly on streaming services have been 2 of the main reasons for this reduction of audience. Hell, I'm waiting for Black Panther 2 to pop up on Disney+ to watch it. Same thing would apply for Avaturd 2 *IF* I bother to watch it. Like myself, thare are others who will wait for Disney+ because it's cheaper.
I don't think Disney will do an entire year of Avaturd at the theaters like Fox did, nor wait 13 years of rereleases to reach a profit.
It seems to me like James Cameron is either readying himself for failure or he's trying to hype the hell out of his fans to avoid the very likely failure. All I know is that the visuals will be amazing, but the storyline will be weak and forgettable.
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